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AHT: 02CSV

09 Jan 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.3%
Rizespor
27.6%
Draw
50.1%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Rizespor

vs
1.89

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS62.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).