Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Tenerife
30.7%
Draw
14.9%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Tenerife
vs
0.48
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS26.8%
Over 0.581.7%
Over 1.550.3%
Over 2.524.0%
Over 3.59.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.4%
0-0
18.3%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
6.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
0-2
2.2%
4-0
1.6%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).