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AHT: 00CSV

24 Nov 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.4%
Huesca
25.5%
Draw
30.0%
Valladolid

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Huesca

vs
1.16

Valladolid

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).