Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Cambridge
26.3%
Draw
29.5%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Cambridge
vs
0.97
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).