Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.9%
Montpellier
19.1%
Draw
67.0%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Montpellier
vs
2.01
Lorient
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
0-2
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
0-4
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).