Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Salford
21.8%
Draw
26.6%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Salford
vs
1.28
Sutton
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).