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25 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Sheffield United
26.1%
Draw
41.3%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Sheffield United

vs
1.57

Coventry

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).