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09 Nov 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.3%
Grenoble
28.7%
Draw
29.0%
Ajaccio

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Grenoble

vs
0.86

Ajaccio

Markets

BTTS37.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.6%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).