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12 Apr 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Leganes
33.6%
Draw
33.4%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Leganes

vs
0.86

Espanol

Markets

BTTS33.1%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.551.1%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.8%
0-1
15.6%
1-0
15.5%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
1.9%
3-0
1.9%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).