Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Oviedo
25.0%
Draw
22.4%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Oviedo
vs
0.93
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).