Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Larisa
33.5%
Draw
43.9%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Larisa
vs
1.14
Aris
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.5%
0-1
16.2%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).