Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Southend
24.1%
Draw
15.4%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Southend
vs
0.82
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).