Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Middlesbrough
22.6%
Draw
16.1%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Middlesbrough
vs
0.94
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).