Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Preston
28.4%
Draw
52.2%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Preston
vs
1.47
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).