Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Roma
22.9%
Draw
16.4%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Roma
vs
0.77
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).