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04 Oct 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.3%
Degerfors
22.7%
Draw
62.0%
Djurgården

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Degerfors

vs
2.04

Djurgården

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
1-0
3.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).