Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Barrow
24.5%
Draw
28.5%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Barrow
vs
1.12
Newport County
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).