Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Ath Bilbao
28.8%
Draw
42.4%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.27
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).