Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Frosinone
22.2%
Draw
13.8%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Frosinone
vs
0.85
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).