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AHT: 02CSV

03 Dec 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.8%
Darmstadt
24.1%
Draw
17.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Darmstadt

vs
0.93

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

BTTS52.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).