Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Oviedo
24.8%
Draw
30.5%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Oviedo
vs
1.23
Santander
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).