Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Doncaster
18.6%
Draw
11.5%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Doncaster
vs
0.67
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
13.8%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).