Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Bari
29.5%
Draw
32.4%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Bari
vs
1.19
Crotone
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).