Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Crystal Palace
34.5%
Draw
33.6%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Crystal Palace
vs
1.02
Everton
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.4%
0-0
15.2%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).