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HHT: 01CSV

21 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.1%
Genoa
25.0%
Draw
27.9%
Udinese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Genoa

vs
1.12

Udinese

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).