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AHT: 02CSV

14 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
15.6%
Draw
76.5%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
2.58

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-4
4.9%
0-0
4.1%
0-5
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).