⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 10CSV

10 Mar 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
15.6%
Istanbulspor
30.1%
Draw
54.3%
Kasimpasa

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Istanbulspor

vs
1.66

Kasimpasa

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-2
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
1-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).