Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Mallorca
26.5%
Draw
25.7%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Mallorca
vs
1.03
Leganes
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).