Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Karlsruhe
22.0%
Draw
17.3%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Karlsruhe
vs
1.07
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).