Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Crotone
27.0%
Draw
28.8%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Crotone
vs
1.25
Empoli
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).