Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Rostov
41.6%
Draw
42.8%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
Rostov
vs
0.85
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS20.2%
Over 0.570.3%
Over 1.536.8%
Over 2.513.2%
Over 3.53.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
29.7%
0-1
23.0%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
4.2%
0-3
2.9%
2-0
2.4%
2-1
2.0%
1-3
1.2%
2-2
0.8%
0-4
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).