Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Salernitana
27.6%
Draw
58.0%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Salernitana
vs
1.55
Venezia
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).