Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Dag and Red
31.2%
Draw
36.3%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Dag and Red
vs
1.15
Oldham
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).