Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Crotone
21.6%
Draw
39.3%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Crotone
vs
1.81
Benevento
Markets
BTTS69.6%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
0-1
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-2
4.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).