Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Fleetwood Town
24.1%
Draw
42.5%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.51
Swindon
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).