Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.8%
Samsunspor
23.5%
Draw
12.7%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Samsunspor
vs
0.95
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).