Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Elche
20.3%
Draw
13.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Elche
vs
0.75
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).