Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.2%
Reading
18.2%
Draw
77.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Reading
vs
1.99
Burnley
Markets
BTTS23.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
20.0%
0-1
19.7%
0-3
13.3%
0-0
10.7%
1-1
6.6%
0-4
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
1-3
4.0%
0-5
2.6%
1-0
2.5%
1-4
2.0%
2-1
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).