Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
AFC Wimbledon
23.8%
Draw
49.5%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.51
Charlton
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).