Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.8%
Mallorca
14.8%
Draw
7.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Mallorca
vs
0.68
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
11.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.1%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).