Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Maidenhead
25.4%
Draw
56.4%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Maidenhead
vs
1.74
Stockport
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).