Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Ipswich
27.9%
Draw
51.1%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Ipswich
vs
1.63
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).