Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Dijon
23.8%
Draw
20.3%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Dijon
vs
0.79
Niort
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).