Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Carlisle
22.6%
Draw
10.2%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Carlisle
vs
0.59
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
14.9%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).