Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.0%
Leganes
23.8%
Draw
15.1%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Leganes
vs
0.68
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).