Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Tamworth
28.4%
Draw
34.7%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Tamworth
vs
1.28
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).