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08 May 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.3%
Norwich
22.7%
Draw
16.0%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

Norwich

vs
0.93

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).