Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
AVS
24.3%
Draw
54.8%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
AVS
vs
1.81
Arouca
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).