Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Bari
31.2%
Draw
33.7%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Bari
vs
1.12
Benevento
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).