Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Ponferradina
27.2%
Draw
33.5%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Ponferradina
vs
1.15
Andorra
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).